South Northamptonshire MP leads rival in race to be Prime Minister, according to poll

A poll of Conservative members reveals that most respondents want Andrea Leadsom to be the next Prime Minister.

Saturday, 9th July 2016, 6:00 am
Updated Thursday, 25th August 2016, 4:55 pm

Private polling by Leave.EU shows a lead for Andrea Leadsom over Theresa May in a head-to-head leadership contest​, with 56 per cent of people asked saying they would vote for the South Northamptonshire MP​.

The same organisation, which campaigned for a Brexit vote and has publicly backed Mrs Leadsom’s bid, accurately predicted the outcome of the EU referendum on June 23​,​ within 0.1 per cent of the result.

​A spokesman claimed the poll had reached about a fifth of Conservative Party members.

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He said: “​We have deployed cutting​-​edge US methods which profile personality traits via social media analytics, to better understand how to poll in a more effective way.

“Leave.EU has over a million supporters reaches around 15 million people a week online – a bigger audience than any political party or movement.

“This supporter base is cross-party by nature, but connects us to around 20 per cent of Conservative Party members.”

In addition, w​hen voters of all parties on the Leave.EU database were asked if they would join or rejoin the Conservative Party if Andrea Leadsom was leader, 41 per cent ​said they almost certainly would and over half (5​3 per cent​) said they would consider it, with UKIP voters being particularly open to persuasion.